Archive for the “Forex Analysis” Category
Good Morning Everyone,
If my forecast is proven to be right, my take is for you to take a rest from the market, for the next 2-3days if you are a longists as I forsee more economical uncertainity very soon and this could upset your portfolio.
In matter of fact, it will be wiser to wait for the selling wave to kick in first and take out every ounce of hope in the market first before having the thought of venturing back in.
I have been staying on course about my expectation of sell-down since 12th of July and added more shorts on 14th of July and will be adding more today.
Do note, I am very bullish in the world’s market BUT with the current Euro debt woes and worry, we will need another draft of selling to complete this pain first. Stock market always moves ahead of economic slumps and recovery and peak. If we want to see a global recovery and most expect to see it by end of 2011 then now, we must see the PAIN first.
Based on my statistics and analysis, if Dow, which is now at 12479, can correct down to 11,900 ~ 12,000 again over the next 5 trading days, it will be bring more traders and players into the market to bargain hunt instead. At this current level and the Euro woes surrounding us, value investing can wait a tab longer, in my opinion.
Based on chart view, the S&P is definitely threading lower on each day despite the sentiment doesn’t truly support that.
I have shared with my graduates some short term views and some longer term views:
(1) S&P is treading lower thus unless it cross 1316 today, if not, no buying.
(2) STI will be a better long candidate at 3040 or lower. Now at 3080…. Be patient
(3) Loco/Gold, the signal for shorting is confirmed but the entry must still wait as the usual pattern is not in yet. Be patient.
(4) HK must hit below 21,500 before one can consider of entering it for long term investment. Preferred level is 20,900.
(5) Euro and AUD are both good buy candidates, I will be providing their entry level later today or tomorrow…
(6) Jakarta Stock market (now at 4022) is definitely going to hit 5,000 by end of June 2012 ( I have calling for buy on this market since it was trading at only 2600) but the question is one must search for the right stocks to enter instead. But take note, once the euphoria ends, the sell off will be a HARD LANDING. So earn as much as you can for now, but its good to take periodically profits..
I am NOT a fortune teller as I cannot even confirm what I will be having for dinner later today but since the market is always moving in pattern and these patterns are 90% humanly made therefore as long as we follow through with it, the chance of us profiting from it is high. That’s Technical Analysis.
Have a great trading week ahead.
Disclaimer applied.
Kelvin Han
V3Go System Originator
No Comments »
V3Go Sentiment Calculator Result (11th of July 2011) for:
1. DJIA (60% — Bull)
2. EURUSD (80% — Bull)
3. GBPUSD (50% — Neutral)
4. USDJPY (85% — Bear)
5. AUDUSD (87% — Bull)
6. LGD (84% — Bull)
7. G.CLC1 (75% — Bull)
8. ESC1 (52% — Neutral)
1. SNIC1 (73% –Bull) — Nikkei
2. HSIC1 (65% –Bear) — HongKong
3. SIMSCI (60% –Neutral) — Singapore
4. STWC1 (55% –Neutral) — Taiwan
5. SHICOM (54% –Neutral) — Shanghai
6. JKSCI (100% –Bull) — Jakarta
7. FTSE (65% –Bull) — London
8. DAX (77% –Bull) — Germany
9. AAOI (80% –Bear) — Australia
10. INSEI (85% –Bear) — India
11. BUMI.JK (57% –Neutral) — Bumi Resources
12. ASII.JK (80% –Bull) — Astra International
13. ANTM.JK (66% –Bear) — Aneka Tambang
14. BMRI.JK (90% –Bull) — Bank Mandiri
15. INTP.JK (71% –Bull) — Indocement Tunggal
16. INDF.JK (60% — Bear) — Indofood
17. INCO.JK (64% — Bear) — International Nickel
18. JSMR.JK (55% — Neutral) — Jasa Marga
19. SGRO.JK (54% — Neutral) — Sampoerna Agro
20. TLKM.JK (71% — Bull) — Telkom
21. S.D05 (59% — Neutral) – DBS
22. S.U11 (65% — Bull) – UOB
23. S.O39 (58% — Neutral) – OCBC
24. S.R14 (80% — Bear) – Ramba
25. S.G13 (75% — Bear) – Genting
26. S.BN4 (75% — Bear) – Keppel Corp
27. S.S51 (69% — Bear) – SMM
28. S.S68 (84% — Bear) – SGX
29. 1088 (80% — Bull) – China Shenhua
30. 883 (69% — Bear) – China National Offshore Oil Corp
Disclaimer applied.
V3Go Team Production
No Comments »
V3Go Graduates knows th importance of knowing what trend is their stock/forex/commodity/index before trading…. See the examples below:
V3Go Sentiment Calculator Result (8th of July 2011) for:
1. DJIA (60% — Bull)
2. EURUSD (80% — Bull)
3. GBPUSD (53% — Neutral)
4. USDJPY (80% — Bear)
5. AUDUSD (86% — Bull)
6. LGD (83% — Bull)
7. G.CLC1 (76% — Bull)
8. ESC1 (52% — Neutral)
1. SNIC1 (71% –Bull) — Nikkei
2. HSIC1 (65% –Bear) — HongKong
3. SIMSCI (60% –Neutral) — Singapore
4. STWC1 (52% –Neutral) — Taiwan
5. SHICOM (52% –Neutral) — Shanghai
6. JKSCI (100% –Bull) — Jakarta
7. FTSE (65% –Bull) — London
8. DAX (77% –Bull) — Germany
9. AAOI (80% –Bear) — Australia
10. INSEI (85% –Bear) — India
11. BUMI.JK (57% –Neutral) — Bumi Resources
12. ASII.JK (78% –Bull) — Astra International
13. ANTM.JK (66% –Bear) — Aneka Tambang
14. BMRI.JK (90% –Bull) — Bank Mandiri
15. INTP.JK (71% –Bull) — Indocement Tunggal
16. INDF.JK (50% — Neutral) — Indofood
17. INCO.JK (64% — Bear) — International Nickel
18. JSMR.JK (50% — Neutral) — Jasa Marga
19. SGRO.JK (50% — Neutral) — Sampoerna Agro
20. TLKM.JK (71% — Bull) — Telkom
21. S.D05 (57% — Neutral) – DBS
22. S.U11 (66% — Bull) – UOB
23. S.O39 (53% — Neutral) – OCBC
24. S.R14 (66% — Bear) – Ramba
25. S.G13 (75% — Bear) – Genting
26. S.BN4 (75% — Bear) – Keppel Corp
27. S.S51 (64% — Bear) – SMM
28. S.S68 (88% — Bear) – SGX
29. 1088 (78% — Bull) – China Shenhua
30. 883 (75% — Bear) – China National Offshore Oil Corp
For Example: Why we always Long AUD than shorting it recently?

For Example – Why we don’t buy ANTM despite the Jakarta Index is at Record High, recently?

No Comments »
Good Morning,
We have been asking the blog administrator to resolve the blog virus issue. It is 90% a SPYWARE therefore it will take a little longer time to resolve it. We realized that as long as you do a scan on your computer after you read our blog, the virus can be detected but you can remove it rather easily. Our IT side is still working on it and we hope we can resolve it by this weekend. We sincerely apologize for all inconveniences caused.
Here is our V3Go Sentiment Calculator and how we use it.
V3Go Sentiment Calculator Result (7th of July 2011) for:
1. DJIA (58% — Neutral)
2. EURUSD (81% — Bull)
3. GBPUSD (56% — Neutral)
4. USDJPY (75% — Bear)
5. AUDUSD(86% — Bull)
6. LGD (83% — Bull)
7. G.CLC1 (76% — Bull)
8. ESC1 (52% — Neutral)
1. SNIC1 (69% –Bull) — Nikkei
2. HSIC1 (61% –Bear) — HongKong
3. SIMSCI (56% –Neutral) — Singapore
4. STWC1 (50% –Neutral) — Taiwan
5. SHICOM (50% –Neutral) — Shanghai
6. JKSCI (100% –Bull) — Jakarta
7. FTSE (65% –Bull) — London
8. DAX (77% –Bull) — Germany
9. AAOI (76% –Bear) — Australia
10. INSEI (85% –Bear) — India
11. BUMI.JK (57% –Neutral) — Bumi Resources
12. ASII.JK (80% –Bull) — Astra International
13. ANTM.JK (66% –Bear) — Aneka Tambang
14. BMRI.JK (88% –Bull) — Bank Mandiri
15. INTP.JK (73% –Bull) — Indocement Tunggal
18. JSMR.JK (50% — Neutral) — Jasa Marga
19. SGRO.JK (50% — Neutral) — Sampoerna Agro
20. TLKM.JK (71% — Bull) — Telkom
21. S.D05 (55% — Neutral) – DBS
22. S.U11 (68% — Bull) – UOB
23. S.O39 (50% — Neutral) – OCBC
24. S.R14 (57% — Neutral) – Ramba
25. S.G13 (71% — Bear) – Genting
26. S.BN4 (71% — Bear) – Keppel Corp
27. S.S51 (60% — Bear) – SMM
28. S.S68 (88% — Bear) – SGX
29. 1088 (78% — Bull) – China Shenhua
30. 883 (75% — Bear) – China National Offshore Oil Corp
Example 1: Genting is 71% Bear = meaning based on our NEW Special Indicator and hidden Mathematic Formula, over last 3months data, this stock is categorize unde Bearish Sentiment. The calculator is updated on daily basis.
Therefore for this stock analysis and way to trade it are:
(1) One should really wait for support before entering. Selling and unloading in progress.
(2) At the moment, dun expect too much from this stock, contra trading should be avoided.
(3) This stock is more of sell upon rallies than chase upon rallies.
See 1st of July 2011 until now.
Example 2: H-Shares – China Shenhua – is 78% Bullish Sentiment
(1) One can enter the market to go long once they see opportunities.
(2) At the moment, if you are on the long side, you can afford to hold it longer for bigger profit.
(3) This stock is more of buy/load upon selling waves.
See 20th of June 2011 movement until now.
Nothing is 100% but with the right TA, things can only be better.
Our new V3Go Pro Software will have this wonderful calculator therefore do watch out for it.
Many people have been enquiring on it. A formal introduction will be confirmed soon.
Only traders who are V3Go Mentoring Program trained can purchase this software. 1st 100 SPECIAL sets will have 4 markets data for 1 year!
FIRST COME; FIRST SERVE
Disclaimer
Kelvin Han
V3Go System Originator
No Comments »
Dear Readers,
Please kindly check your email box now.
If you wish to get hold of one copy… do join our mailing list, by emailing us at Sales@V3Go.com now and you will get a copy of it by Saturday.
V3Go Team
No Comments »
Good Morning,
I have liquidated even more positions on the Long side as this market keep surging - leaving me 20% in Long Side on Equities and I have increased my Gold position by another 20%. But I have increased my short positions on Index markets by another 30% this morning. The reasons that I am shorting is based on my epectation of another round of selling in the near term. I foresee some serious profit taking after this round….
Note: I was PROVEN Right when I chose to go long during the 17th – 23rd June period whereby many traders were staying bearish. My clients are reasonably happier with me now….. Phew….
Of course, do note, I am acting as trader for company and clients therefore I am using a longer term projection to trade/invest thus it is NOT MEANT for short term traders unless I specifically mentioned like the recent Loco buy trade.
I could be proven wrong therefore I will advice traders not to follow me blindly. Do your own homework and analysis and used this article as reference only. Kindly take note, I am not the best market timer but coming to general macro view, I am reasonably okay, on records.
Here are my average levels:
NIKKEI – Short – 9800s (Now at 9820)
HK – Short – 22344s (Now at 22460)
SIMSCI – Short – 357.80s (Now at 359.70)
S&P – Short – 1301s (Now at 1306)
Loco – Long – 1508s (Now at 1512)
Not in FOREX for time being but will be looking forward to short AUD in the near term should there is a signal.
Indonesia stock market should be resisted around 3880 for the time being.
Equities:
Still Holding Genting and Ramba – not reducing but also no adding for the time being.
Disclaimer applied.
Kelvin Han
V3Go System Originator
No Comments »
Good Morning,
I have reduced my company’s portfolio to 70% cash position as we take advantage of the recent recovery to lock in profit. Although, they aren’t very big ones but we are happy to collect back our capital so that we can re-look at the market again. Undeniable, we are pretty optimistic for the July month and looking forward to get a potential gain of 10-20% from it thus we will need back all the funds to strategize.
We will be providing a strategy gameplan email to all our readers thus, if you would like to have a copy of it, do email us at Sales@V3Go.com now to register into our mailing list. You will receive the PDF copy by Sunday 1800hr (SIN Time). It will consist selected Singapore shares, Indonesia shares, H Shares, US shares, Stock Indices, FOREX and Commodities direction.
This service is absolutely FREE therefore all you need to do, is to register for it. Members of my mailing group need not register again.
Kelvin Han
V3Go System Originator
No Comments »
Good Afternoon,
Good to see the markets moving up nicely.
I repeat myself here for all my readers… Do book profit on the way up as the market has yet crossed the safety zone for going heavy long. I fear for a potential second dip thus I am encouraging you to undertake RISK Management Control also known as RMC.
I have been booking my Equity Long profits today as the market moves higher. Now I am only 55% Long in the market. I am releasing my holdings for only 2 reasons.
Reason 1: I bought some of my holding at the higher levels thus if the market sell down further later, I would have the funds to enter more and average out as I believe in value investments.
Reason 2: If the market keep going up, its good for me so that I can book my profits without increasing further exposure while getting my capital back for the next round again since I am still looking at a potential 2nd DIP.
Trading is about maximizing gains from your capital but also protecting your capital as without it, its like going to the war without bullets and expect to win the battles.
If tonight Dow stays green for the 4th Day, i will be looking forward to liquidate more positions.
I am glad most of the grads and friends/readers of mine, stay cool during this period and bought a few good counters during this selling wave and turned winners. Yes, some of them actually went the wrong way and let fear and ignorance took the better of them and forced them to cut at lows… Sad but again, this is part and parcel of trading and despite my repeated coaching, sometime, human will still have the tendancy to make this small little mistake.
“If you want to be a winner in the market, always be the minority… it will be ALONE and likely Jeer by people but when you start to make money from the market at those sweet spots, you will see the whole difference of being the Different. “
Kelvin Han
V3Go System Originator
No Comments »
Good Afternoon,
Undeniable, today isn’t going the way I wanted and currently, my portfolio is suffering paper losses.
I have checked and double checked. I don’t see the reason to reduce my position but I have to hedge my position accordingly which I have done it.
With 80% long in the market with stops in place… the maximum losses that I will incur is around 20% if that happen. This is to show you that I don’t do hindsight reporting and very open to my clients and company acct.
I decided to wait fo the market to stablized first especially since we know that Germany and France are organizing meeting ahead of the weekend summit.
I don’t wish to speculate further BUT I always believe that no crash will come unless we see a rally first.
I will be doing an overview of my forecast over the weekend.
Cheers!
Kelvin Han
V3Go System Originator
No Comments »
Good Morning Everyone,
UNDENIABLE, many traders are freaking out recently and my emails are pilling in per day….
BASED on my trading diary, this is the BEST TIME to accumulate as much as possible as usually, after the thunderstorm, we are going to see a possible sunshine recovery after that.
HONESTLY, I was pretty bearish with the market in April to May and was looking towards such magnitude of selling but the market then was basically buying into a bubblic sensation and everyone is so optimistic. People were calling for STI to cross 3300 by June and Dow to hit 13,000 too.
But I know the financial bubble from Greece and high commodity prices will eventually hit the market. The warning signs were clear and obvious but both liquidity and volatility of the movement shows opposite sign. I know I have to go slow and wait for the right time.
By May, the selling were coming in and I have decided to do some bottom fishing but very selectively and slowly while hedging with shorts on FOREX side and Long on Gold/Crude side.
I have bought alot of Ramba and Genting this round while staying long on NIKKEI, GOLD and HK.
I will be sharing more of my viewsof the different markets later via this blog.
I have just used another 30% to accumulate stocks like Ramba and Genting, HK, NIKKEI and GOLD.
Now I am 80% vested in the market, on the long side while shorting CHF in the FOREX side.
Kindly remember, mine is long term positioning.
Thank you.
Disclaimer applied.
Kelvin Han
V3Go System Originator
No Comments »
|