Good evening everyone,

Here’s my stock pick based on KH Diff Technique. However, I would advise traders not to go heavy and to take quick profit tmr since JKSCI isn’t giving me a good signal. Note that Capital preservation is the key!

Stocks Pick based on KH Diff Technique:

1. Astra Agro Lestari (AALI): Above 20700
2. Semen Gresik (SMGR): Above 5900. Note that the volume on this counter is rather thin. Hence, the likelihood of it being manipulated is very high
3. Tambang Batubara Bukit Asam (PTBA): Above 12850
4. United Tractors (UNTR): Above 13250

Stocks on Watch List:

1. BISI International (BISI): Above 2010. This counter is consolidating. A safer buy would be to wait for the stock to close above 2050 (Diff R/L)
2. Unilever (UNVR): Above 10450. This stock is slowly accumulating although it is still below Diff R/L

Good Luck!

CK

Good Day,

As mentioned in my blog, we already expected a number of stocks to profit take yesterday especially those who traded on high volume last Thursday.

How did KH technique fare on 4 September especially since JKSCI ended flat? Note that we only buy if the counter open above the level mentioned and trade above OP by 1 bid.

Stocks to long today (4 Sep) based on Diff:

1. Aneka Tambang (ANTM): Above 2250 – Profitable
2. Bakrie & Brothers (BNBR): Above 130 -  No trade
3. Bakrie Sumatra Plantation (UNSP): Above 850 – No trade
4. Bakrie Telecom (BTEL): Above 141 – No trade
5. Bank Mandiri (BMRI): Above 4000 – Profitable
6. Bank Negara (BBNI): Above 1880 – Ended flat. Never hit our stop loss level
7. Barito Pacific (BRPT): Above 1500 – No trade
8. Bumi Resources (BUMI): Above 2775 – No trade
9. Darma Henwa (DEWA): Above 200 – No trade
10. Elnusa (ELSA): Above 340 – No trade
11. Energi Mega Persada (ENRG): Above 375 – No trade
12. Holcim (SMCB): Above 1270 – No trade
13. Indah Kiat Pulp & Paper (INKP): Above 1722 – Ended flat. Never hit our stop loss level
14. Indika Energy (INDY): Above 2325 – No trade
15. Indo Tambangraya Megah (ITMG): Above 23400 – Profitable
16. Indosat (ISAT): Above 5250 – Ended flat. Never hit our stop loss level
17. International Nickel (INCO): Above 4250
18. Medco Energi International (MEDC): Above 2825
19. Sampoerna Agro (SGRO): Above 1990
20. Timah (TINS): Above 2025 – Small losses. Never hit our stop loss level
21. Truba Alam Manunggal (TRUB): Above 163 -  Small losses. Never hit our stop loss level

As you can see, KH technique helps you avoid stocks that are likely to incur big losses. Those stocks that incur small losses didn’t trigger our stop loss position so in theory, we haven’t realize our losses yet.

The power of KH technique!

CK

Good evening everyone,

All thanks to my new found friends in Jakarta, I had the good fortune of trying out ikan bakar, roti bakar and ayam goreng over this weekend!

Enak Sekali!

My friend is asking me the usual questions about a few Indonesian stocks….

“Indofood can hold? Wilmar can buy? What stocks to look at?…”

I can understand his concerns – The last thing you would want is to buy stocks only to see your “investment” turn to losses.

Of cos, I can guarantee 100% winning but using Diff, the risk of losses are kept to the minimun. We are looking at consistent profit versus “roller coaster ride” (I’m sure a lot of traders would understand what I meant *wink*)

Back to the market,

Frankly, I wasn’t comfortable with the chart formation on JKSCI. HK was rallying like nobody business, leading SIMSCI to rally from its bottom to close near the high. However, JKSCI was trading on a tight range and only managed to close slightly above OP.

Hmmm…. The region is performing well but JKSCI doesn’t seem to be reacting accordingly. Of cos, One can argue that the sell off in JKSCI in early trading shows support on the market.

Well, as US market end positive last night, One can expect JKSCI to rally in early trading. There is a good chance of profit taking on both SIMSCI and HK due to its rally on Friday.

Normal… Biasa…

But if JKSCI rally above OP but came off (as a result of potential profit taking in Asian markets) to trade below OP, I’m expect another round of selling. JKSCI must be able to trade above 2326 (Diff R/L) before it close for lunch to be safe on the upside.

Conclusion:

1. I’m expecting indonesian stocks to rally in early trading but sell off later.
2. I’m looking at those stocks that managed to stay above OP despite selling on JKSCI later in the afternoon.

Of cos I may be wrong but I rather play safe with my capital.

Good Luck!

CK

Analysis:

Buying pressure on DOW

Upside:

1. Upside TSC (UB 9541, LB 9417)
2. Upside croc maiden crossing W%
3. Closed above Diff R/L
4. Widening +ve ROC
5. Closed near DH and above Prev DH

Downside:

1. N.A.

Trading Plan:

• Long DOW if it trades above 9417 (LB) and above OP
• Short DOW if it trades below 9413 (BC) and below OP

Analysis:

Selling pressure on NK

Upside:

1. Closed above prev DL
2. Downside Sparrow W%
3. Closed above TAOS S/L (10185)
4. W% near extreme

Downside:

1. Downside TSC (UB 10305, LB 10070)

Trading Plan:

• Long NK if it trades above 10305 (UB) and above OP

Analysis:

Strong buying pressure on HK. Good chance of profit taking on Monday

Upside:

1. Upside TSC (UB 20920, LB 20388)
2. Upside croc W%
3. Closed above Diff R/L
4. Widening +ve ROC
5. Closed near DH and above Prev DH

Downside:

1. N.A.

Trading Plan:

• Long HK if it trades above 20495 (BC) and above OP
• Short HK if it trades below 20388 (LB) and below OP

Analysis:

Buying pressure on STi

Upside:

1. Upside TSC (UB 2643, LB 2614)
2. Upside croc maiden crossing W%
3. Closed above Diff R/L
4. Tested but closed above TAOS S/L (2596)
5. Failed Peak Theory

Downside:

1. Narrowing +ve ROC

Trading Plan:

• Long STI if it trades above 2614 (LB) and above OP

CK

Disclaimers Apply

Analysis:

Potential Trend Reversal on DOW

Upside:

1. Closed near DH and above Prev DH
2. Downside Sparrow W%
3. Change in ROC

Downside:

1. Downside TSC (UB 9292, LB 9233)
2. Closed below Diff S/L

Trading Plan:

• Long DOW if it trades above 9292 (UB) and above OP
• Short DOW if it trades below 9247 (BC) and below OP

CK

Disclaimers Apply

Good morning,

I just picked up my guru, Kelvin from the airport. He is doing live trade tomorrow with our Diff Grads and KH Mentoring Programme Preview on this Saturday. It was good to see him after quite some time…. (Kinda miss Singapore… I Guess…)

I got a hard time selecting stocks today as most have formed a new Diff Peak on bargain hunting after a series of sell down recently. Frankly, there is no 100% sure way to select the “runners”. Those stocks that have perfect signals doesn’t necessary mean it will surge tomorrow. On the same note, those counters that show some selling signals may not necessary sell down further.

Perhaps I shall use another approach…

Most trainers would share that if the counter break a technical level (It can be Diff R/L or Previous DH) on low volume, it is likely to be a false outbreak. While it may be true, those stocks that break the technical level on heavy volume doesn’t necessary means it will carry on its upside tomorrow.

Why?

Think of it this way…  If a counter broke through a technical on heavy volume, Am I right to say a lot of retail traders (i.e. you and me) would have enter to buy?

Since most retail traders are quick to take profit and slow to cut their losses, am I right to say many would be thinking of taking profit tomorrow?

Hence, those counters are likely to take profit (i.e. sell down) should JKSCI profit take in early trading and break below OP.

Stocks to long today (4 Sep) based on Diff:

1. Aneka Tambang (ANTM): Above 2250
2. Bakrie & Brothers (BNBR): Above 130.
3. Bakrie Sumatra Plantation (UNSP): Above 850
4. Bakrie Telecom (BTEL): Above 141
5. Bank Mandiri (BMRI): Above 4000
6. Bank Negara (BBNI): Above 1880
7. Barito Pacific (BRPT): Above 1500
8. Bumi Resources (BUMI): Above 2775
9. Darma Henwa (DEWA): Above 200
10. Elnusa (ELSA): Above 340
11. Energi Mega Persada (ENRG): Above 375
12. Holcim (SMCB): Above 1270
13. Indah Kiat Pulp & Paper (INKP): Above 1722
14. Indika Energy (INDY): Above 2325
15. Indo Tambangraya Megah (ITMG): Above 23400
16. Indosat (ISAT): Above 5250
17. International Nickel (INCO): Above 4250
18. Medco Energi International (MEDC): Above 2825
19. Sampoerna Agro (SGRO): Above 1990
20. Timah (TINS): Above 2025
21. Truba Alam Manunggal (TRUB): Above 163

Good luck!

CK

Disclaimers Apply

How did we know IndoFood is a good buy today?

Simple… Based on Diff Technique alone, we are able to located this good stock yesterday. When we put in our V3Go Techniques, the buying signal is EVEN stronger.

If YOU are Confused about trading or Simply tired of donating $$$ to the market, We cordially invite you to our KH Mentoring Preview to see for yourself how you may consistently make $$$ in the market.

Good Evening Everyone,

I’m sure everyone make good money today on Indonesian stocks. CONGRATS!!!

JKSCI managed to break the UB of DT TSC (2293) and began to rally to close near the high, which is inline with the Asian market.

Of cos, the question on everyone’s mind will be:

“Will this be the start of a uptrend?”

“How far can my Indonesian stock goes? Will I be able to catch the high?”

All I can say is JKSCI has a very critical support of 2276, which it may test depending on the region performance. As for now, JKSCI forms a new Diff Peak but closed below Diff R/L. Hence there is a good chance of profit taking should it break above Diff R/L. JKSCI needs to close above Diff R/L (2326) for further upside.

My Call:

• As long as JKSCI stays above 2308 (BC), traders should be safe on the long side
• But should it falls below 2302 (UB), it would be advisable to lock in some profit first
• Should JKSCI managed to close above Diff R/L, Good chance of market seeing 2400 level by end of this month

Good luck!

CK

Disclaimers Apply

Analysis:

Overall selling pressure on NK with signs of buying activity

Upside:

1. Closed above Prev DL
2. Closed above TAOS S/L (10185)

Downside:

1. Downside TSC (UB 10345, LB 10100)
2. Downside croc W%
3. Supported exactly at V3Go BC
4. Change of ROC
5. Resisted at TAOS S/L (10275)

Trading Plan:

• Long NK if it trades above 10345 (UB) and above OP
• Short NK if it trades below 10205 (SC) and below OP

Analysis:

Buying pressure on HK

Upside:

1. Upside TSC (UB 19930, LB 19657)
2. Downside sparrow W%
3. Closed above Diff R/L
4. Widening +ve ROC
5. Closed above V3Go BC
6. Failed Peak Theory

Downside:

1. Closed away from DH
2. Resisted below TAOS R/L (19654)

Trading Plan:

• Long HK if it trades above 19657 (LB) and above OP
• Short HK if it trades below 19504 (Diff R/L) and below OP

Analysis:

Buying pressure on STI

Upside:

1. Upside TSC (UB 2614, LB 2590)
2. Downside sparrow W%
3. Closed above Diff R/L
4. Closed at DH
5. Failed Peak Theory

Downside:

1. N.A.

Trading Plan:

• Long STI if it trades above 2590 (LB) and above OP
• Short STI if it trades below 2583 (Diff R/L) and below OP

CK

Disclaimers Apply

Analysis:

Potential reversal on DOW

Upside:

1. Narrowing -ve ROC
2. Downside sparrow W%

Downside:

1. Downside TSC (UB 9309, LB 9184)
2. Closed below Diff S/L
3. Closed below Prev DL

Trading Plan:

• Long DOW if it trades above 9309 (UB) and above OP
• Short DOW if it trades below 9220 (SC) and below OP

CK

Disclaimers Apply