Did You Trade

Good day,

We have received feedback from participants for our Diff preview on 22nd Aug that Diff is meant for Futures but not stock.

Well, the truth is Diff works BEST for stocks since the market is unlikely to swing up and down to trigger your stop loss!

We trade to win NOT trade to trade

Hence, we look at the index to increase our odds of winning!

My take:

1. US market is likely to end lower today on profit taking resulting in JKSCI to gap down slightly
2. Should JKSCI gap down, it may rally up in early trading and may see 2395 (UB) before coming off.
3. Should it trade below OP, profit taking is likely to set in.
4. Hence, those who are long into stocks should ensure that their stock portfolio should at least be trading above OP to be on the safe side.

Good luck!

CK

Disclaimers Apply

Good day,

Here’s my stock pick for tomorrow. Do note that the JKSCI isn’t giving me a good signal – It is showing signs of potential trend reversal. Hence, likely most stocks may sell down tomorrow. Of cos, if the counter can resist “gravity”, it is a definite sign of buying interest.

Potential Long Candidates:

1. Bank Pan Indonesia (PNBN): above 730
2. Indosat (ISAT): above 5250

Stock Picks based on Diff:

1. Samperna Agro (SGRO): below 2175

Not much stock candidate due to a couple of them selling down to close either below Diff R/L or exactly at Diff R/L. As for stock like Bisi and Jasa which have run up by quite a fair bit, it is not wrong to buy but the risk is higher (buy at higher price).

Once again, I’m not expecting much upside for stocks tomorrow. Of cos, I may be wrong. If you are not comfortable, perhaps you may want to wait out first to observe.

CK

PS: I took less than 20 min to look through 45 stocks and do my posting.

Good day,

The following was the list of stocks that I posted yesterday that are potential long candidate based on Diff. As mentioned, we only long the stock if it open above the level mention and 1 bid above OP.

So what’s our report card? Let’s see

Stocks to long based on Diff:

1. Aneka Tambang (ANTM): above 2475 -> No trade cos never trade above OP
2. Bakrie & Brothers (BNBR): above 129 -> Profitable (7 bid)
3. Bakrie Sumatra (UNSP): above 920 -> Small losses (2 bid)
4. Bakrie Telecom (BTEL): above 138 -> Profitable (5 bid)
5. Bumi Resources (BUMI): above 3025 -> Profitable (1 bid)
6. Indika Energy (INDY): above 2450 -> No trade cos never trade above OP
7. Kalbe Farma (KLBF): above 1280 -> Small losses (1 bid)
8. Medco Energi International (MEDC): above 3050 -> No trade cos never trade above OP
9. Telekomunikasi Indonesia (TLKM): above 8550 -> Small losses (2 bid)
10. Timah (TINS): above 2150 -> No trade cos never trade above OP
11. Truba Alam Manunggal (TRUB): above 175 -> No trade cos never trade above OP

Out of 11 stock pick, 2 small losses (2 bid cos buy at OP + 1), 5 no trade, 3 Profit.

Hmm… Not too bad right. Notice that our profit is much more than the losses.

Congrats on those who traded Bakrie & Brothers and Bakrie Telcom!

CK

Good Day,

Trust everyone make some money in early trading before selling sets in late morning.

As predicted, Upside was limited for JKSCI. It resisted exactly at 2388 before coming off to the low and recovering to close near the OP towards end of trading

WOW! How do we do that?

The power of TSC!!!

We will be having our very first KH Mentoring Programme in Jakarta on 12th and 13th September.

Interested? *Wink*

CK

Analysis:

Buying pressure on NK

Upside:

1. Upside TSC (UB 10790, LB 10635)
2. Upside croc W%
3. Closed above Diff R/L
4. Closed above 2 V3Go BC
5. Closed above TAOS R/L (10595, 10560)
6. Failed Peak Theory
7. Change in ROC

Downside:

1. W% near extreme

Trading Plan:

• Long NK if it trades above 10765 (SC) and above OP
• Short NK if it trades below 10635 (LB) and below OP

Analysis:

Possible trend reversal on HK

Upside:

1. Upside TSC (UB 20653, LB 20464)
2. Closed above Diff R/L

Downside:

1. Upside sparrow W%
2. Closed below Prev DH and CLP
3. Narrowing +ve ROC
4. Resisted below TAOS R/L (20542)
5. Narrowing +ve ROC

Trading Plan:

• Long HK if it trades above 20464 (LB) and above OP
• Short HK if it trades below 20389 (SC) and below OP

Analysis:

Potential trend reversal on STI

Upside:

1. Upside TSC (UB 2653, LB 2617)
2. Closed above Diff R/L
3. Failed Peak Theory
4. Closed above V3Go BC

Downside:

1. Upside sparrow W%
2. Change in ROC
3. Tested but closed below TAOS R/L 2632

Trading Plan:

• Long STI if it trades above 2617 (LB) and above OP
• Short STI if it trades below 2605 (SC) and below OP

CK

Disclaimers Apply

Good Day,

These may be the questions that are burning in your mind:

1. What’s the point of attending the course but still lose money at the end?
2. Is it REALLY that simple and powerful? Will I be able to master the technique since I’m a novice?
3. Will I be able to cover back my course fee plus more?

Hmmm… Good questions especially for those who are tired of going for preview after preview only to be disappointed at the end…

We are lucky to have our Diff Graduate, Daniel to share his experience with Diff in his trading during the preview. Here is an excerpt:

What are you waiting for?

Call us at 081317344188 to reserve your seats NOW!

Analysis:

Signs of selling activity on DOW.

Upside:

1. Upside TSC (UB 9697, LB 9575)
2. Closed above Diff R/L
3. Widening ROC

Downside:

1. Closed below Prev DH
2. Upside sparrow W%

Trading Plan:

• Short DOW if it trades below 9575 (LB) and below OP

CK

Disclaimers Apply

Analysis:

Signs of profit taking on JKSCI

Upside:

1. Upside TSC (UB 2388, LB 2309)
2. Upside croc W%
3. Closed above Diff R/L
4. Closed at DH and above prev DH

Downside:

1. Long Down Tail
2. Narrowing ROC

Conclusion:

• You should relatively safe to long on Indonesian stocks as long as JKSCI stays above Diff R/L 2331
• However, long side is limited. JKSCI is likely to test UB (2388). Should it fail to stay above UB, JKSCI is likely to sell down below OP. Key is OP

CK

Disclaimers Apply

Good evening,

We gathered that most traders in Jakarta are interested in Indonesian stocks based on the feedback we received during our recent Diff Preview.

Thanks to our Diff Graduate who provide me 45 Indonesian stocks that have relatively large trading volume!

Stocks to long based on Diff:

1. Aneka Tambang (ANTM): above 2475
2. Bakrie & Brothers (BNBR): above 129
3. Bakrie Sumatra (UNSP): above 920
4. Bakrie Telecom (BTEL): above 138
5. Bumi Resources (BUMI): above 3025
6. Indika Energy (INDY): above 2450
7. Kalbe Farma (KLBF): above 1280
8. Medco Energi International (MEDC): above 3050
9. Telekomunikasi Indonesia (TLKM): above 8550
10. Timah (TINS): above 2150
11. Truba Alam Manunggal (TRUB): above 175

So far there isn’t any stocks to short using Diff technique.

Note that the stock should ideally open above the levels mentioned and trade higher than its opening price (OP).

Good Luck!

CK

Analysis:

Selling pressure on NK.

Upside:

1. Closed above Diff R/L
2. Tested but closed above Prev DL

Downside:

1. Downside TSC (UB 10560, LB 10440)
2. Upside sparrow W%
3. Change in ROC

Trading Plan:

• Long NK if it trades above 10580 (BC) and above OP
• Short NK if it trades below 10560 (UB) and below OP

Analysis:

Buying pressure on HK.

Upside:

1. Closed near DH
2. Hole Theory
3. Closed above Diff R/L
4. Supported above TAOS S/L 20138
5. Supported above TAOS R/L 20284
6. Change in ROC
7. Tested but closed above V3Go SC

Downside:

1. Downside TSC (UB 20153, LB 19776)
2. Upside sparrow W%

Trading Plan:

• Long HK if it trades above 20288 (SC) and above OP
• Short HK if it trades below 20153 (UB) and below OP

Analysis:

Strong buying pressure on STI.

Upside:

1. Upside TSC (UB 2637, LB 2579)
2. Upside croc W%
3. Closed above Diff R/L
4. Closed near DH and above Prev DH
5. Hole Theory
6. Engulfing Bull
7. Long Down Tail

Downside:

1. BHP formation on Uptrend

Trading Plan:

• Long STI if it trades above 2622 (BC) and above OP
• Short STI if it trades below 2590 (SC) and below OP

CK

Disclaimers Apply